{"id":46260,"date":"2026-09-08T18:31:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T15:31:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kuzeyinsesi.org\/index.php\/2026\/09\/08\/almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-nereye-varacak\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T18:31:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T15:31:05","slug":"almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-nereye-varacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kuzeyinsesi.org\/index.php\/2026\/09\/08\/almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-nereye-varacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanyada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi nereye varacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n


\n\tAlmanya\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusundaki Saksonya-Anhalt eyaletinde sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan tablo, \u00fclke siyasetinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin habercisi olabilir.<\/p>\n


\n\tA\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlanan Almanya<\/a> i\u00e7in Alternatif Partisi (AfD), oylar\u0131n y\u00fczde 43,8\u2019ini alarak tarihindeki en y\u00fcksek eyalet se\u00e7im<\/a> sonucuna ula\u015ft\u0131. Partinin 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 20,8 olan deste\u011fini be\u015f y\u0131lda iki kattan fazla art\u0131rmas\u0131, uzun s\u00fcredir tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini yeni bir a\u015famaya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tSe\u00e7imin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ise merkez siyasetin a\u011f\u0131r kayb\u0131 vard\u0131. Eyaleti 2002\u2019den bu yana y\u00f6neten Hristiyan Demokrat Birlik\u2019in oylar\u0131 y\u00fczde 37,1\u2019den y\u00fczde 17,2\u2019ye geriledi. Ba\u015fbakan Friedrich Merz\u2019in partisi, se\u00e7im<\/a> b\u00f6lgelerindeki do\u011frudan milletvekilliklerinin tamam\u0131n\u0131 da AfD\u2019ye kapt\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tAncak se\u00e7imleri a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde tamamlayan AfD, tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kuracak \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fa ula\u015famad\u0131. Parti, 83 sandalyeli eyalet meclisinde 39 milletvekilli\u011fi kazanarak gerekli \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fun \u00fc\u00e7 sandalye gerisinde kald\u0131. Di\u011fer partilerin AfD ile koalisyona yana\u015fmamas\u0131 ise eyalette h\u00fck\u00fcmetin nas\u0131l kurulaca\u011f\u0131 sorusunu beraberinde getirdi.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n


\n\tSe\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 daha dikkat \u00e7ekici hale getiren bir ba\u015fka unsur da AfD\u2019nin belirli bir ya\u015f grubundan de\u011fil, toplumun geni\u015f kesimlerinden destek almas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n


\n\tAlman kamu yay\u0131nc\u0131s\u0131 ARD ad\u0131na Infratest dimap ara\u015ft\u0131rma<\/a> \u015firketi taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re AfD, 18 ile 69 ya\u015f aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7men gruplar\u0131nda birinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. Partinin oy oran\u0131 35-44 ya\u015f grubunda y\u00fczde 53\u2019e, 45-59 ya\u015f grubunda ise y\u00fczde 52\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tOrtaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca AfD\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fini de\u011fil, Alman siyasi sisteminin bu y\u00fckseli\u015f kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir yol izleyece\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 da derinle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tAfD art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca bir tepki partisi de\u011fil<\/h2>\n


\n\t\u00d6ncelikle AfD\u2019nin oylar\u0131n\u0131 be\u015f y\u0131lda iki kattan fazla art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda tek bir neden bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tD\u00fczensiz g\u00f6\u00e7, ekonomik durgunluk, enerji<\/a> maliyetleri ve Berlin y\u00f6netimine duyulan g\u00fcvensizlik, se\u00e7menin tercihini etkileyen ba\u015fl\u0131ca konular aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Do\u011fu ile Bat\u0131 Almanya aras\u0131ndaki ekonomik ve sosyolojik farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n birle\u015fmenin \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en y\u0131llara ra\u011fmen tamamen ortadan kalkmamas\u0131 da AfD\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 zemini besliyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tYeditepe \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Dr. Furkan Kaya\u2019ya g\u00f6re se\u00e7im sonucunu yaln\u0131zca AfD\u2019nin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 \u00fczerinden okumak yeterli de\u011fil. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tablo, Almanya\u2019daki merkez siyasetin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcven kayb\u0131n\u0131 da g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\n
\n

\u201cAfD\u2019nin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nce Almanya\u2019daki merkez siyasetin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015fmam\u0131z gerekir. Se\u00e7menin \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc art\u0131k mevcut siyasi d\u00fczene kar\u015f\u0131 mesaj veriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dr. Furkan Kaya<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n


\n\tSaksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131, gelir farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ve gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin kayg\u0131lar se\u00e7menin geleneksel partilerden uzakla\u015fmas\u0131nda etkili oldu. Ancak AfD\u2019nin farkl\u0131 ya\u015f gruplar\u0131nda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek oy, partinin yaln\u0131zca ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lara veya h\u00fck\u00fcmete y\u00f6nelik tepkinin adresi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

\"Almanya\u2019da<\/p>\n


\n\tKaya\u2019ya g\u00f6re AfD art\u0131k kendisine ba\u011fl\u0131, daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir se\u00e7men kitlesi olu\u015fturuyor:<\/p>\n


\n\t\u201cAfD sadece protesto ve tepki partisi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Kendi taban\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek laz\u0131m. Bu seviyeye ula\u015fan bir siyasi partiyi yaln\u0131zca tepki partisi olarak g\u00f6rmek eksik kal\u0131r.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n


\n\tNitekim Almanya\u2019n\u0131n kamu yay\u0131nc\u0131s\u0131 ARD ad\u0131na yap\u0131lan sand\u0131k \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 da bu de\u011ferlendirmeyi destekliyor. AfD, 18 ile 69 ya\u015f aras\u0131ndaki b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7men gruplar\u0131nda ilk s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. \u00d6zellikle 35-44 ve 45-59 ya\u015f gruplar\u0131nda se\u00e7menlerin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131n AfD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelmesi, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n toplumun geni\u015f kesimlerine yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tAfD\u2019nin Saksonya-Anhalt te\u015fkilat\u0131, eyaletin i\u00e7 istihbarat birimi taraf\u0131ndan 2023\u2019ten bu yana \u201ckesin olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131\u201d \u015feklinde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. Parti ise bu karara kar\u015f\u0131 hukuki m\u00fccadelesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tSe\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan AfD\u2019nin eyalet ba\u015fbakan\u0131 aday\u0131 Ulrich Siegmund, \u201cHedefledi\u011fimiz \u015feyi ba\u015fard\u0131k. Bu eyalette tarih yazd\u0131k.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n


\n\tAfD E\u015f Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alice Weidel de sonucu partisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u201c\u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurma g\u00f6revi\u201d olarak nitelendirdi. Weidel, AfD\u2019nin yaln\u0131zca do\u011fu eyaletlerinde de\u011fil, federal d\u00fczeyde de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam edece\u011fini savundu.\u00a0<\/p>\n


\n\tAncak se\u00e7im zaferine ra\u011fmen AfD\u2019nin eyalet y\u00f6netimini devralmas\u0131 kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n


\n\t\u201cG\u00fcvenlik duvar\u0131\u201d daha ne kadar korunabilir?<\/h2>\n


\n\tAfD, 83 sandalyeli eyalet meclisinde 39 milletvekilli\u011fi kazand\u0131. Tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurabilmesi i\u00e7in gerekli 42 sandalyenin yaln\u0131zca \u00fc\u00e7 sandalye gerisinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tHristiyan Demokrat Birlik 15 sandalye elde ederken Sosyal Demokrat Parti, Ye\u015filler ve Sol Parti sekizer milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Sahra Wagenknecht \u0130ttifak\u0131 ise 5 sandalyeyle meclise girdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tAlmanya\u2019daki geleneksel partiler bug\u00fcne kadar AfD ile koalisyon kurmay\u0131 reddetti. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n iktidara ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemeyi ama\u00e7layan bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, Alman siyasetinde \u201cBrandmauer\u201d, yani \u201cg\u00fcvenlik duvar\u0131\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n


\n\tSaksonya-Anhalt Eyalet Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Sven Schulze de se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan AfD ile i\u015f birli\u011fi yapmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tAncak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan meclis aritmeti\u011fi, AfD\u2019yi d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakan bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Hristiyan Demokrat Birlik\u2019in h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurabilmesi i\u00e7in siyasi \u00e7izgileri birbirinden olduk\u00e7a farkl\u0131 partileri ayn\u0131 masada bulu\u015fturmas\u0131 veya d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan desteklenen bir az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti olu\u015fturmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n


\n\tAfD ile Sahra Wagenknecht \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n toplam sandalye say\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu sa\u011flamaya yetiyor. \u0130ttifak, belirli konularda AfD ile i\u015f birli\u011fine a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klasa da iki parti aras\u0131nda hen\u00fcz bir koalisyon zemini bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

\"Se\u00e7im[Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 Saksonya-Anhalt Eyalet Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 ve Hristiyan Demokrat Birlik Partisi (CDU) i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu.]<\/span><\/div>\n


\n\tDr. Furkan Kaya\u2019ya g\u00f6re AfD\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy artt\u0131k\u00e7a partiyi siyasi sistemin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda tutmak da g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n


\n\t\u201cAfD y\u00fczde 10\u2019lardayken bu tecrit politikas\u0131 uygulanabiliyordu. Ancak y\u00fczde 40\u2019lar\u0131 a\u015fan bir partiye \u2018Sen sistem d\u0131\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u2019 demek kolay de\u011fil. AfD\u2019yi sistem d\u0131\u015f\u0131na atmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak, partiyi zay\u0131flatmaktan ziyade daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n


\n\tAfD\u2019nin se\u00e7imlerden a\u00e7\u0131k ara birinci \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen h\u00fck\u00fcmetin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, parti se\u00e7meninde \u00e7ifte standart uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Bu durum, AfD\u2019nin uzun s\u00fcredir kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 sistem kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6yleme yeni bir alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n


\n\tSe\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131<\/a> Almanya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da geni\u015f yank\u0131 uyand\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tFransa<\/a> Maliye Bakan\u0131 Roland Lescure sonucu \u201c\u00e7ok endi\u015fe<\/a> verici bir i\u015faret\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendirdi. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa \u0130\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Benjamin Haddad ise a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n bir Alman eyaletinde se\u00e7im kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u201cAvrupa i\u00e7in \u00e7ok ciddi bir an\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle yorumlad\u0131.<\/p>\n


\n\tPolonya<\/a> Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Donald Tusk da AfD\u2019nin zaferine sert tepki g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\n
\n

Polonya’da sadece aptallar ya da hainler Almanya’daki AfD zaferinden sevinebilir. Konfederasyonlar ve PiS’te biraz birikmi\u015fler.<\/p>\n

Polonya Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Tusk<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n


\n\tBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD<\/a> Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump<\/a> se\u00e7im sonucunu sosyal medya<\/a> hesab\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131rken, i\u015f insan\u0131 Elon Musk<\/a> AfD\u2019yi tebrik etti. Rusya<\/a> Devlet Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 temsilcisi Kirill Dmitriev ise sonucu \u201ctarihi zafer\u201d olarak nitelendirdi.<\/p>\n


\n\tSand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan mesaj\u0131n ilk etkisinin Almanya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6\u00e7<\/a> politikas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi bekleniyor. AfD\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, Friedrich Merz<\/a> h\u00fck\u00fcmeti \u00fczerindeki s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fini art\u0131rma, d\u00fczensiz g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc azaltma ve s\u0131n\u0131r d\u0131\u015f\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctebilir.<\/p>\n


\n\tPartinin Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin yetkilerine y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirel \u00e7izgisi, merkez partileri ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 daha fazla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karan bir politika izlemeye de zorlayabilir.<\/p>\n


\n\tAfD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlara ve Ukrayna\u2019ya verilen deste\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ise Berlin\u2019in d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131ndaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 derinle\u015ftirebilir. Partinin y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi halinde, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019ya ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ve ne kadar s\u00fcre destek verece\u011fi daha fazla sorgulanabilir.<\/p>\n


\n\tKaya\u2019ya g\u00f6re Saksonya-Anhalt se\u00e7imleri yaln\u0131zca bir eyaletin y\u00f6netimini de\u011fil, \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Almanya\u2019da kurulan merkez siyaset dengesini de yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiriyor:<\/p>\n


\n\t\u201cBundan sonra as\u0131l mesele AfD\u2019nin y\u00fckselip y\u00fckselmeyece\u011fi de\u011fil, Alman siyasal sisteminin bu y\u00fckseli\u015fe nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fidir.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n


\n\tSaksonya-Anhalt\u2019tan \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7 tek ba\u015f\u0131na b\u00fct\u00fcn Almanya\u2019n\u0131n siyasi tercihini yans\u0131tm\u0131yor. Ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n gen\u00e7lerden orta ya\u015fl\u0131lara kadar geni\u015f bir se\u00e7men kitlesinden destek almas\u0131, do\u011fuda ba\u015flayan siyasi dalgan\u0131n \u00fclkenin bat\u0131s\u0131na da yay\u0131l\u0131p yay\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 sorusunu g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusundaki Saksonya-Anhalt eyaletinde sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan tablo, \u00fclke siyasetinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin habercisi olabilir. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlanan Almanya i\u00e7in Alternatif Partisi (AfD), oylar\u0131n y\u00fczde 43,8\u2019ini alarak tarihindeki en y\u00fcksek eyalet se\u00e7im sonucuna ula\u015ft\u0131. Partinin 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 20,8 olan deste\u011fini be\u015f y\u0131lda iki kattan fazla art\u0131rmas\u0131, uzun s\u00fcredir tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini yeni […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya"],"yoast_head":"\nAlmanyada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi nereye varacak? - Kuzeyin Sesi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kuzeyinsesi.org\/index.php\/2026\/09\/08\/almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-nereye-varacak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Almanyada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi nereye varacak? - Kuzeyin Sesi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\" Almanya\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusundaki Saksonya-Anhalt eyaletinde sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan tablo, \u00fclke siyasetinde yeni bir d\u00f6nemin habercisi olabilir. 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